On Wall Street, the “score” has always been in The Flows. Decades ago, that meant watching who was front-running whom. Today, technology lets us see the entire game—the positioning into earnings, the choreography of patterns that rhyme, scale, and repeat.
That was the heart of the conversations with clients in the past weeks. Unlike the fast-money hedge funds in New York, you see things differently and discuss “longer-term” capital with LEAD Counts—the economic setups that matter not just for this month, but 6–9 months down the road.
And here’s what the flows are signaling now:
- LEAD Shifts – Positioning today suggests a hybrid LEAD2-to-LEAD1 environment as we head into early 2026.
- Rate Cuts Coming? – With the 2-year yield hitting lower cycle lows, markets are starting to price in 1–2 cuts before the next acceleration.
- Where to Look for Alpha – NVDA and QQQ remain “buy the dip” plays, but real incremental alpha may be hiding in Small Caps (IWM) and Cyclicals (XLI).
- Dollar & Growth – Can the dollar stay bearish trend, or could we see a repeat of the 80s/90s playbook where a strong dollar coexisted with growth?
Markets aren’t about long-term calls—they’re about adapting, evolving, and staying ahead of the flows.
Want the full breakdown, including how to prepare for the next move? Watch the full video here.
